NE (-7.5) over oak
i'm actually a little surprised at the size of this line this early. there are just so many unanswered questions for both of these teams this year. can the pats repeat? is oakland's offense really going to be that good with the additions of moss and jordan? will the pats miss U of A alum teddi brusci that much? will al davis ever die? i really think that this one is a tossup. my very poor memory seems to be telling me that the first game of the season is never that good. and the smartest man on earth, bill belichick has had 6 months to think up a way to stop this offense. i think that the oakland defense fails and corey dillon runs for 130 yds and 2 tds. i'll reluctantly take the pats.
den (-5) over MIA
this one's a no brainer. miami is one of the worst teams in the league this year. in the competition for the worlds worst qb, jay fiedler barely ekes out the nod over jake plummer. do you think the suspended ricky williams will get high while watching the game?
cin (-4) over CLE
another no brainer. i'd put down 50 bucks on this one if i could, but there's another game that i feel better about. no matter, pencil in the johnson brothers for 3 tds.
hou (+5.5) over BUF
i know, i know, magahee, but i just don't know about that losman kid at qb for the bills. i really think that david carr is good, but he's approaching joey harrington territory if the texans don't show any signs of life. and since i think he's better than harrington, i'll take the texans here.
PIT (-7) over ten
i do think that the titans will be ok this year. but the thing is, that they need to get their running back situation squared away which will require some kind of breakout performance by henry or brown. well, that's not going to happen against the steelers. the only thing that bugs me about this pick is that there's a pretty good chance this will be a low scoring game.
chi (+5.5) over WAS
no i'm not sold on that orton kid. but i do like a healthy bears defense against an incredibly shoddy skins offense.
CAR (-7) over no
i think that it would be funny if the panthers in a gesture of goodwill gave all of the saints carolina hurricanes hockey jerseys. no telling what the effects of katrina will be, but the saints almost always lose to teams with superior talent.
MIN (-6) over tb
how do you not like daunte on turf at home against an old defense. gruden continues to show everyone that he is the most overrated coach in the history of ever. let's see him try to scowl brian griese into throwing less ints.
sea (+3) over JAX
the jags are overrated. big time.
KC (-3) over nyj
a lot of fantasy folks had priest holmes ranked behind shaun alexander. i know you never can tell with injuries, but why would you rank him behind alexander when he was on his way to another historic season when he went down. that and almost everything that i've read says that pennington can't go deep because of his injury, which should make life a little easier for the semi-decent linebackers to bottle up c-mart, who is getting old anyways. this one seems easy to me.
ari (+3) over NYG
is there something i'm missing here in regards to the giants? aren't the cards supposed to be markedly better? isn't eli manning still the younger of the sorriest sonuvabitch in the league? the more i think about the cards, the more and more i like em this year. but that's relatively speaking cuz i actually hate this franchise.
stl (-6.5) over SFO
heh heh....this line is going to be 8 by sunday morning. get in on the action while you can. let's not get fancy early, and make this the 50 dollar bet.
gb (+3) over DET
there's really nothing to like about the packers this year except javon walker. although i guess it really doesn't make sense to think that ahman green won't rebound like priest will, and you do have the harrington factor, who no longer has any pressure to perform with garcia injured....dammit, i had the lions at first, but now i change my mind, i'm going with the packers here. sorry erik.
dal (+4.5) over SD
super bowl #6, here we come....
BAL (+3) over ind
i know, i know...look, the colts are going to be fine, but i'm high on the ravens this year. will the ravens be able to pound jamal lewis? even with the addition of cory simon to the indy defense, i say yes. will manning be able to throw bombs all day to marvin and reggie with an improved ravens secondary, and when i say improved, i mean improved from one of the best last year? i say no. call me crazy, but i'll take the home dogs here. whatever happens, here's to what will be a great game.
ATL (+1) over phi
speaking of great games, the battle of black quarterbacked teams with bird mascots. recently, t.o. said he wanted to make nice with donavan mcnabb. here's how i envision the exchange going:
D-Mac: Why you been acting so messed up towards me?
T.O.: Why you been acting so messed up towards me?
D-Mac: Well, you go first
T.O.: I don't know. Maybe I felt a little threatened or something because your career is just kind of blossoming and mine is kind of winding down or whatever.
D-Mac: And I felt like this guy is really hurting me. And it hurt.
T.O.: And I felt like when you told me to, "Dere-lick my balls" that really hurt.
D-Mac: Maybe I was scared man. You're T.O. Yeah, you're T.O. Do you know what it's like to be another football player and be in T.O.'s shadow? You want to hear something crazy? Your work in the '95 International Male catalog made me want to be a football player. I freaking worship you man!
T.O.: I'm sorry I was whack.
D-Mac: I was whack
T.O.: I was whack.
just kidding, t.o. is going to ruin, and i mean just ruin the eagles this year. falcons all the way.
p.s. i aped the entire T.O./D-Mac skit from here. sue me.
this week, we're just going to do parlays. a lot of chance for points available here. 3 points for a 3 team parly, 4 points for a 4 team parlay and so on. to encourage betting, only minus one point for missing them. maximum 2 parlays. i'll take a 3 team parlay with CIN, STL, and DEN.
and so it begins. just like kanye west, i'm ready for some football. and yes, kanye sold out here.