apologies for the lack of blogging, but my football weinie has been going crazy this week, so i've most of my time has been dedicated to overseeing some games of chance and my fantasy teams. i sucked it big time last week. what can i say? i should have stuck with the home team, as they went 11-5 this week. me? while i did have a losing record, i did have the most ideal losing record in 6-9. get it? anyways, not only did the goddammed niners blow my fifty dolalr bet, but they also blew my parlay as well. so that's a big whopping 2 points this week. fredo, meanwhile, fredo went 8-8 and niners f'ed him in the a as well for his parlay. but he did get the bonus for his fifty dollar bet. so fredo wins week 1, 7-2. lots of work for me to do, but we'll get em. anyways, on with this weeks picks. home team in caps, lines from betonsports.com.
bal (-3.5) over TEN
the ravens can suck my big balls for not derailing the colts in their season opener. but at the same time, any secondary is going to look bad against the peyton. the titans, well, what's to like? ravens are the sensible choice here.
HOU (+6.5) over pit
i'm just not ready to give up on the texans just yet. david carr really sucked balls last week. but like i've said before, we've seen the flashes of greatness out of him. i'm going to go on the theory that willie parker's breakout game last week was a fluke. not to say that the steelers won't win, but they won't score as many points, and i think the texans can keep it close at home.
IND (-9) over jax
it's really tempting to take those points here. but indy at home...i just don't see it happening this week for the jags.
CHI (+1) over det
yeah, my lions pick last week was pretty stupid, but i still think that the lions have problems on offense. i know that chicago's offense looked rather pitiful against the skins, but i got a good feeling about this team.
CIN (-3) over min
seriously, daunte played the worst game of his entire life. but even more importantly, i think we saw that the minnesota offense is suffering from the same thing it always has suffered from, no running game. meanwhile, the bengals looked impressive in their win over the browns last week. the points are tempting here, but i'll just stick with the home team here.
buf (+2.5) over TB
not really sure about this line. sure tampa bay looked pretty good last week, but buffalo's d looked dominant last week. i didn't get to see it, but fredo also said that losman looked ok in the first quarter. besides gruden is just too sorry to win two in a row.
ne (-3.5) over CAR
losing jenkins is huge for the panthers. my over bet for the panthers is not looking so good any more. and the pats...well, as we're fond of saying, we're going to ride this train until it stops.
atl (pk) over SEA
this line is a little fishy as well. but i thought that the falcons looked great on monday night. the seahawks also looked like the ass of a dog for the second half last week. holmgren is just terrible and yes, i do think he stabbed shaun alwexander in the back last year. the hawks pay for it dearly here. i'm feelin' a little frisky here, so give me fifty bucks on michael vick's incredibly hot black body.
stl (pk) over ARI
two teams that underacheived greatly last week. i think that the rams offense will be ok, and they just got caught with their pants down last week. as for the cards, i can't get off this bandwagon fast enough.
mia (+6) over NYJ
ok, so maybe nick saban is a good coach, but let's not get too carried away. he was facing the worst quarterback to ever emerge from the satanic institution of arizona state university. as for the jets, pennington is clearly not 100 percent. but here's the deal, i don't think he's that good anyways. i'm starting to think that herm edwards may get the axe this season.
GB (-6.5) over cle
clearly the week's worst game. green bay is going to suck this year, but the browns are still worse.
sd (+2.5) over DEN
man do i love betting against the snake. if i was in vegas, i'd bet this one pretty hard.
kc (-1.5) over OAK
i don't get this line. i know that the raiders are at home, but their defense looked mediocre while the chief's looked pretty good. not that it matters as i suspect that the teams will score 50+ points in this game. if you have any of the starters in fantasy land, you should start them all.
DAL (-6) over was
dan snyder so wishes that he was jerry jones...but he sure ain't. hi mark brunell, i'd like you to say hello to my friend demarcus ware.
no (+3) over NYG
ah what the hell, let's just get on board with the sob story and pretend that the saints 2-0 start is somehow helping the hurricane victims. i'm not saying that it's not a nice story, but to somehow say that the success of the saints somehow makes life better for these refugees, well, that's just plain naive. and f eli manning.
SF (pk) over phi
this one has actually been taken off the board because of mcnabb's injury. i'll just go on the assumption that he's not playing, and philly's continues to unravel setting the stage for the cowboys to win the nfc east.
bonus props! turns out fred and i are playing each other in one of our fantasy leagues. so we're going to handicap our fantasy game for the opportunity for 4 bonus points. things are really getting out of hand, i know. anyways, my roommate, erik love has taken the time to analyze our rosters and he has set the line as fredo (-2) over bob, citing duece mcallister's inspirational performance for the hurricane victims as the difference.. as you can imagine, i think erik is an ignorant douchebag of gigantic proportions and i'll obviously go with my team. we'll just go ahead and just assign this little bet as good for one point. the other bet i want to give is the over/under on the number of touchdowns that both of our teams combined will score (passing, rushing, recieving, and defensive). so i'll set that number at 13.5. i guess i'll take the over here. this bet is good for three points. again, both bets are minus one if we miss them.
UPDATE 09-13-05 5:20PM - there's a news report that mcnabb is back practicing again, and betonsports.com has the line in the PHI/sf as PHI (-13.5). i also got the home team wrong in the original post. so, since fredo hasn't posted yet, i'm going to allow myself to change my bet. with mcnabb in there at home, philly rolls.