geez, this is hella late already. as i alluded to in my last post, the demise of my computer and the start of school has occupied much of my time this week. throw in the fact that i'm headed to vegas this weekend, and i've got almost zero time for blogging. anyways, let's just get on with it. fredo and i both suck so far this year. last week, i got 4 games right and scored on my fifty dollar bet for 5 points. fredo only got 4 right, but didn't make a fifty dollar bet. he also didn't make a pick on the jax/nyj game for some reason. his bonus points were a wash as he got the over/under on cadillac williams right and the parlay wrong. and yes, there has to be minus points because this is gambling, and there's no such thing as a free bet. so anyways, our current standings are me: 12, fredo: 16. lines from caesar's palace, home team in caps.
sd (+5.5) over NE
look, i know that the pats are at home, and i know they just came off an impressive win over the steelers, but here's my deal. they barely won that game. losing rodney harrison is going to make a huge difference as well. i know, people always say that new england knows how to fill those kinds of things with nobodies. that's just crap however. harrison is one of the more feared defensive players in the league. lt looked absolutely fabulous last week. i'm guessing that a balanced attack beats the pats this week.
JAX (-4) over den
fuck it. i'll go ahead and get on this bandwagon.
CIN (-10) over hou
the points are tempting, especially after the bye week for the texans, but this is another wagon that we should consider getting on until it stops. give me fifty bucks on this one.
TEN (+7) over ind
the titans have been a covering machine, and i like them to do the same over the colts. plus it looks like the colts are sporting a new big defense, low offense type of attack. i say it goes on for one more week and we get another low scoring colts victory.
KC (-1.5) over phi
this one smells like a trap. and i'll go ahead and get on the right side of this trap.
TB (-7) over det
my poor roommate. at the beginning of this year, there would have been a bunch of people who would have said that the lions would roll here...not anymore. i'm going to go ahead and bet the hell out of this one when i get to vegas.
stl (+3.5) over NYG
as much as i hate martz, i hate coughlin even more. i think the 2-0 start for the g-men starts to fall apart right here.
NO (-1) over buf
i'll take brooks, horn, and duece over losman, moulds, and willie. plus let's give the new orleans saints a little edge now that they play home games in the great state of texas.
sea (+2) over WAS
trap? i don't know, this one seems to easy. i don't know how anyone can think the skins are any good with their qb situation.
BAL (-7) over nyj
looks like the jets are fixin' to sign joe namath to fill in for all the injured qbs over there.
min (+6) over ATL
again, good vick one week, back vick the next.
OAK (-3.5) over dal
i hate making this pick, cause i have a really good feeling about it. but because i can't bet against the boys, i will simply be rooting for the cowboys here. here's the deal, the raiders have actually played pretty well over their 0-3 start. i just can't see them going 0-4. add in the fact that they're at home, and i think that the oakland offense goes nuts on an inconsistent dallas defense here.
sf (+2) over ARI
this is a real shitty deal for the cards. not only to they have to play a home game in mexico, but they have to do it where american football fans are either cowboys or niners fans. i can't see why arizona is favored here, so it might be a trap.
gb (+7.5) over CAR
you bet against favre on monday night.
bonus props! this week, we're going to delve into the world of over/under. pick three games from this list. each one will be worth 1 point (and yes, minus one if you miss) and there's a two point bomus for getting all three, for a possible 5 points. the cowboys/raiders game looks to be fairly high scoring. Caesar's has the number at 47.5. i'll take the over here. we'll test the new look colts theory, the number in the colts/titans game is 45, and i'll take the under, and the lowest number is for the ravens/jets game at 31, and i think that billick will figure something out to get the ravens offense going this week, i'll take the over.